Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:29:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:30:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,701.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
4,516 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,516 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,088.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004B0cF9CacaD6818fed109b33E3eCf4fA005D98
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,088.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
58.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 5,604.21 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
147.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:28:30 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:29:41 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
81.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:27:18 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,701.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:30:53 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:26:06 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
4,500 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:32:04 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
109.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:24:55 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
76.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:33:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,516 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
38.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:43 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003a00458fe77a892990bb1e89b260c1014bf8ff72b8ca01d9923c5cc48629b0
58.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:43 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d00023c999a29986a50d401cb4d6c3930f40ebc8cbf0b54be57921571e8d5
4,516 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:43 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Tx: 0x00080016fe47335c4f1e0acf7449d57c8afe4ecae5a71fa0ca9538dd44d19973
1,088.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:43 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x004B0cF9CacaD6818fed109b33E3eCf4fA005D98
Tx: 0x0043005547d6e36dfadb76d4531fb7da9ee8aa2bb155a998010e5a7b7fd70078