Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:33:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
52% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,500
Unexplained QUAI: 4,994.07
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
10x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
10,494.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 10494 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
1,031.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:32:19 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
10,494.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:33:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
12,850 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:31:07 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
43.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:34:43 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
102.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:29:56 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
10,629.61 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:35:55 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:28:44 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
41.48 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:37:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:33:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:33:18 A.M.
From: 0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C
To: 0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Tx: 0x0068007b64df728420f135a1f4dcf044a435ac0bfa9bf7481be02d5d0e1fa3b0
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:33:18 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x0060004ddeb41b6abf182b1df055038a8810524320ce3e78e7603cd0ae5572ae