Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:32:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,994.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
1,031.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0032193506333e579bfD25DED2d2ddA93D6acE51 • 0x003ff4a2440774A103B776fcdecd7E80113Ab78B.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1031 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0032193506333e579bfD25DED2d2ddA93D6acE51 • 0x003ff4a2440774A103B776fcdecd7E80113Ab78B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0032193506333e579bfD25DED2d2ddA93D6acE51
Net sender
Unknown type
3,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003ff4a2440774A103B776fcdecd7E80113Ab78B
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,600 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Balanced
Unknown type
894.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
842.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c09e51e9BF8deD48Ab0DB63dF32C287c22041
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,031.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:32:19 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
12,850 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:31:07 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
102.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:29:56 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
10,494.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:33:31 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:28:44 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
43.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:34:43 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:27:33 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
10,629.61 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:35:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,600 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:32:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032193506333e579bfD25DED2d2ddA93D6acE51
To: 0x003ff4a2440774A103B776fcdecd7E80113Ab78B
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:32:58 A.M.
From: 0x001c09e51e9BF8deD48Ab0DB63dF32C287c22041
To: 0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Tx: 0x004b0030c150c84555bc367d30ba44128a7c7e0bcc8c81da035d3ba551bc9e80
842.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:32:58 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Tx: 0x0025007318ddf90e3f5b06dc810c3885fbcf1efa2eb48d92252f9e7f39ffe9fb
3,600 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:32:58 A.M.
From: 0x0032193506333e579bfD25DED2d2ddA93D6acE51
To: 0x003ff4a2440774A103B776fcdecd7E80113Ab78B
Tx: 0x00550017155a803349a2d012727264a78a39ba03f0c05112bf0ff26b04bef98c
51.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:32:58 A.M.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006d00749939ec28ce1a2b407dfae4d43394f207232a5dc1f5ede1a665c85dd6