Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:31:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,031.32
Unexplained QUAI: 11,818.68
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
125x previous minute
12x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
12,850 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED • 0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 12850 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED • 0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
31.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
12,850 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:31:07 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
102.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:29:56 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,031.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:32:19 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:28:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:27:33 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
10,494.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:33:31 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
43.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:34:43 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
16,082.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:26:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:31:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:31:43 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0049004c5492f4af7135885253b18092624a4a54390321c6f3d6b88848f01280
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351
Tx: 0x002f00554d1a3a9a3427326060257d13d7716a202c2118ef346842ac38227a05