Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:27:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,000
Unexplained QUAI: 9,999
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
19,999 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 19999 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
16,082.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:26:22 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:27:33 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:25:11 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:28:44 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
15,163.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:23:59 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
102.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:29:56 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
54.62 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:22:47 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
12,850 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:31:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:27:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:27:12 A.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0030007eaf7a21c02b79d396b86c5f9cae57de5a3a17860f4e814c2a8ee2cc45