Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,163.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
15,163.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15163 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
96.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
54.62 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:22:47 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:21:35 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
15,163.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:23:59 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:25:11 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
514.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:20:24 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
16,082.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:26:22 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:19:12 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
To: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:15 A.M.
From: 0x00070aB0E8d6AdcA455eDE59fd7Ce3B761C73d56
To: 0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Tx: 0x00240069893cb9159a688a3c603492de028d29fffb94630645afaaf1550844f1
96.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005d0029aeb2890753cd9b3d7c6e89ba5447bab429eb77f001a6c582a0a8d62c
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x0030813338982ACff58eEF9a59c831F5ffAE29fA
To: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Tx: 0x003600066763d3335d48a555fc04eafeecbc1e70bf8685911ee1fc062348f3e2
7.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00540063198a6206a51e3639a2d6bfb62104aeab23821c1766121d2e764cfd8c
59.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017004ad186ed7aa1cfbbde52c0dc930832f2b7594dbf1fac253fd64ff967cc