Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 83.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
7.3x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
83.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 84 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
53.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351
Net sender
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
30 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
83.73 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:08:27 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
11.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:07:16 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
464.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:06:04 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
61.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:09:39 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,160.75 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:04:51 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:10:51 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
682.02 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:03:39 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:12:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.73 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:08:12 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
53.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:08:12 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Tx: 0x0062001db1392a4bf89bd4aee38318abd8d4619e7ec4647408b0a0452933a86f
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:08:05 A.M.
From: 0x0018F9A82cb0f8E65AbDD1bd369e11E1FDAdb351
To: 0x0047F9C645f4092eb17feAaF4e90B46Da4a183cC
Tx: 0x0017004018351c1c52ea5a30c3396c6ae52f61ebe091afefae627174413d5bba