Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:05:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 464.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
464.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 465 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
235.51 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
149.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
116.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Net sender
Unknown type
113.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 113.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
1,160.75 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:04:51 A.M.
-1 min
51 tx
682.02 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:03:39 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
464.94 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:06:04 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
11.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:07:16 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:02:26 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
83.73 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:08:27 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
60.56 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:01:15 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:00:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
149.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
113.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010078403d503bd41c25a9cd62d98f415e24e81ce9bef6d7ad9cc52e5dc57d
7.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
Tx: 0x005a000124f2ec89b14122f429e51007acc42417d20a80fec64e4097a96c9edf
149.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x003f00652eeeea0a856daea36723b94d2101b0459e2eb6fd0d19f850c523b25a
24.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x005f002e2a0ccb6906dfdf5c716cec8e33484e0b24a49bcf119ffd76df4fb45d
13.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x006700433c6546e54b1cfcff81577c82196506df69f26342cd54d3c780f8671d
4.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x002b006cd130314c6b758762399bfce2d8279a31c8d697cd7cbe080a3d8f243b
24.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x0009000ee4057ce0cdc8a90c7dc952e598653e5bf88306ba1660320ee9e37630
11.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:58 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
Tx: 0x0016003d2bc18720b620231e2e36dbd56b818f11133258092a15aec9545afcc6
116.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:05:19 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c00025337b73fc7ce693d84ed6fbf09fbb4971af866c795bf009d84cf5e4a
