Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 3:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,506.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
301x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
1,506.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1506 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618 • 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86.
0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295 -> 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,200 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003bDe4362254b8f8e485A875852d03C31E4f597
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295 → 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
2 repeated flows • 200 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
20,046.42 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:39:50 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:38:38 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,506.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:41:02 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:42:14 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:37:27 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:43:25 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,825.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:36:15 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 3:35:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:56 A.M.
From: 0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
To: 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
Tx: 0x001c00041929d35b4242f5f304f782e801437681a5be4b00d3799cb458d49059
56.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:07 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0027001db2e31b99d89e204d6d72917c5cdc18ae557278679575d3b6b3d5b357
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
From: 0x003bDe4362254b8f8e485A875852d03C31E4f597
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0071002474b7daac82a99eef3a51663ca16acab70b39e7244de4d0a2329f09d6
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
Tx: 0x002c003d27c699147fd1878de5af6c8cc87491b269b9bcf817b901346edef30f
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
From: 0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
To: 0x0003D272AcF7bDA74B85fc8990CB8ae2A869d618
Tx: 0x003a0027a484ab90a0461f768ff734fadb7376d9c660d16dcc8d03de2ad8c7b0