Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49,820.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
6.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
48,604.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 48604 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
47,983.09 QUAI across 14 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0056aF490764E8E92F0FA32d9ad6D317F0D8C371
Net sender
Unknown type
16,630.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Net sender
Unknown type
1,917.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,789.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 47,983.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
8,030.29 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate16 tx
48,604.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:54:30 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
8,453.67 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:52:06 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,140.36 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:55:42 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
32,753.34 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:50:54 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
6,732.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
17,913.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:49:43 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2,895.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:58:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
1,216.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x005d000b433107e3be7a153152f503232c5799e6ad09b1e4deb24804446ee7c4
47.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006000650ef8e3c2639302c422eca1039293a2fec89d4f551c0cb1a04cf5fcaf
573.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x007b00387757f6763259adb0147a0a5fc36aef55d2905f18cee71bf46eb3d4d4
433.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000500441132fc316a351b61873177be158c91efc6cff5dd6d04fbff4bcefbe6
373.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f000c7a2f46045621466ece9e8356b50a8fd6327ec369a637cfd1c18e0e88
1,122.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004400121a300f231b99e0906f17d5781627f1988a2896015fac3c9ecd15b936
1,255.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b001c0116321284affa4a4157b91b86dd08a4b889418c12a3fbbeef6de8a2
16,630.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x0056aF490764E8E92F0FA32d9ad6D317F0D8C371
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b003f70eaa65ac5e1bc44181a6c27846899ad9afe812f994d1a88aa8399f8
782.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x005A7d7BAbe2eFCc8111012670C3e041456c7319
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a006d19a2b52b0d4ac9880a65b7a7c108b2b3851eb0bf93039cba75b90772
309.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260061e5ae55772d65bba1147558277e35716a82a615d87c45e9fb65da6251
1,370.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x00594F3FEBf6fD53CB4d5936eA63C2BE6aF84FB7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590015b00a46f930bd83ae431b82a60a3249074cb59b441b4fc1fe8c94cf95
19,998.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690061ba5c0f8f3d4b1316fdca7fff0ae79c42a94c3c2332cbd658e155054e
1,206.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006700323534bba3d035b121d6bc4bae822decad0a41ecf65e9190dbe88b65cc
1,210.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017006e3ae2fd0cc53650973d25f763e4862d9bec53ed295c4f4ff4206b1487
1,018.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048001874bdf7b1b35b7c7e7a120b8237228ab893f2c50634672ebcec1d67a6
355.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00720066e47735ab8b1f5180f31b23cb6dfbaeba2c779a6ea4925ec77c6ac8ce
1,917.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:54:08 A.M.
From: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b00119492be9a6587e0c599153276106cf6a930011399e520db02128c7d7e
