Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,753.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
32,753.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32753 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,922.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,252.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,461.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
17,913.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:49:43 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate21 tx
77,769.59 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:48:30 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
32,753.34 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:50:54 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
8,453.67 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:52:06 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
7,677.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:47:16 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
8,030.29 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
4,830.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:46:04 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
60,699.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:44:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
373.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x005800043ab2325ff4ea3a524876f9fd97f2ae56144f3a3e892fba433de50b4b
414.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00583aE733b95D86855b6C4b0aCC982d0433199A
Tx: 0x007c00477e1ea83ba8d51111871abf6acbe075ec6a0c9a47e0043a7a522f115d
730.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073C480138c6357DB25E1D8Cb35313957c887e3
Tx: 0x005e0056e20baeed548fe69700bb839d2dc8a65dcf5ac2dbe7e5101f5e90eec9
9,252.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Tx: 0x0009002c12b43b39719db6893374fc93b9dce0730411cca531adf07b80eb2f96
310 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:24 A.M.
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Tx: 0x005a0078af461fd073d71c289182f02e809b225502ccbda9110e659092965d45
60.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007200507a21d4f06559f7dc2079b93085461cb79d0df11ca7e70275e00f6d90
356.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
Tx: 0x002e0000cb58bc60481d8fc0df52f07ede16d8a63aa2d618846908108880cb4c
1,256.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x0039003d326e4a2e9713d71ad4ce3dc4570ce8338abbe8948e82166ce7cff992
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0050005a771d1b208fe1f5e23aacbd9a83a5218ddfef4fbae4f23527dc19b053