Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 53,403.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
7
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
17,238.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 17239 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
39,994.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,994.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
8,675.71 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,453.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,733.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 39,994.3 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
22 tx
46,706.86 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:42:26 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
17,238.63 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:43:39 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
16,574.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:41:14 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
60,699.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:44:51 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
10,385 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:40:02 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
4,830.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:46:04 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2,039.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:38:50 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
7,677.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:47:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,994.3 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,539.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x007c00150e8419944e71ef5e51e08c783da43df4ae68f42193cf06cfec007dc4
5,453.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00661480da333e1c379317201FE532Ea18EA92F1
Tx: 0x0064007eac07abe9ab0659489d80113835445a04814b047ea5af466b1394f73a
39,994.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x00780067d43295f32f16a490df1f2c3156981578cfa7a0fe766645f16fb5a72e
863.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Db113f1738A100c99b14aB14e0C1fBbb979B7
Tx: 0x005500257a1ab076ef213e674be35cc34f741b20c52dce30701725e99a67294a
135.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00660634153FA6F89c75252d9d24635b8f60f600
Tx: 0x000b0052545f0b94f82eca815a8de773a92ac5b27bff2ae8c888b0f2eb9ab37d
330.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x0065003d73fcddb6b2ff5fa6d4367e0dd0ad1a71d3a706e9984344f8ec5a4d42
3,086.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:43:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0064DB653D558D0AD90697C9DF9b741fCEbE9733
Tx: 0x0031000db73dd7f6b7db48b82a08f99862d3727ea9862896f13f5a4f90bb077f
