Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:42:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,309.71
Unexplained QUAI: 26,397.15
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 19% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
2.8x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
22
Observable rows
15
68.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
46,706.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 46707 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,288.4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,909.94 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,111.37 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,799.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,687.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
22 tx
46,706.86 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:42:26 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
16,574.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:41:14 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
10,385 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:40:02 A.M.
+2 min
17 tx
17,238.63 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:43:39 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,039.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:38:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate8 tx
60,699.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:44:51 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
11,442.75 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:37:38 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
4,830.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:46:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,799.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
2,193.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00230058b1ed423a2e2426926ab63768471fbb6a09bcbb7b9ce36a03954e625f
118.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00643dc72F39DB145DA23e61c09Ee4a55b819a02
Tx: 0x005d0015061f4f782d0d326de3ac205e499357f6199160aed4ddf633044b5a51
214.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:54 A.M.
From: 0x007660347A0fC5A9E1bd5f7ec58D4B6344eEcE5b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007000770678ca09e4936174cf6934a6c0c285eed491f10b79a225fb6f2077cc
3,214.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x0001000dcb2b520ec3886adc248b3b17d64c98f616487e4043e9d35fbb3b2652
1,188.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Tx: 0x0025002300c04ad46b2f8957234450c33b1442314fde67e663646548fe258925
796.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007a0024691842827bd8e79eb57efa3592c2bb813e7c554c15d5daeb233532b0
536.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0017002c178232a15205348c1315415443b341e5167b4ecb9f3bafb4d2ccab7b
979.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0078006573ca16c14dd63b2eb699cc3daea8a52f12322b29f1417dc3a894856e
274.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x002632E5866Ec5Bb6Bc8818C44344DB2D8Ad97E5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0029003b8bd594fd6db074dcbeabaf46c87b103c4c0035edc6051ccdda0cbe5f
464.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002d0062a791d733217c147f1b9d2ffa10493d7eec990008fb391be39622310c
844.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:48 A.M.
From: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b002bd87a29ad99f9a2f81e96f451d43f08b88c7dba49c282e350eaa76d84
1,107.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004c15DF23fC40eAf28a1e79Aa575555177BCc5B
Tx: 0x0013006acdf42cf56305108409fe18afa5d7cc5253cdc3f824b648f013b70033
889.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0012001d364a93a0ef143e5f601498ca822d224ca70fde7025e47c1d2b7475f7
3,687.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x00190061b4aa4b87d58a4298ceb3ce48a837561b322a3487028e15fe24c8dd5c
3,799.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:42:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x005f00417102be7b3fcfb33a88530164ccd41cc2b2f704f35cfc0bb61fac982c