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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,267.55
Unexplained QUAI: 19,044.79
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
22,312.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 22312 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,971.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,389.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,295.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,192.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Net receiver
Unknown type
582.31 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,389.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
1,192.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00443d253cF3ead56BbDAA436885E5F055aE282E
Tx: 0x000f003ac4fc231eed2e736e64935850fd8a60f5fac01ae28619495bd9c2066e
1,389.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0031000f06d1ddc834d4a13fab35a4212c6d20ddabe68b993cbad97b33ddd20d
Open txWallet profile
582.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:31:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x00730042dc2cdf4f048422cd07d15a71aedd080ff4487d08b102d1f366d34f24
Open txWallet profile
102.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:31:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043FDAF7a07CBEb326160F762bA4B0bCf053DC6
Tx: 0x006a004ad35d09d8ef0830c2f44ba570516771e40f45194fdfacff0390383e8f