Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:28:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,448.42
Unexplained QUAI: 21,039.8
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
11x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
22,488.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 22488 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
720.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Net receiver
Unknown type
720.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
641.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net receiver
Unknown type
641.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
85.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
22,488.21 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:28:02 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
30,854.72 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
2,134.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:29:14 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
7,296.4 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate17 tx
33,838.01 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:30:26 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
10,365.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:24:25 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
22,312.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:31:38 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
7,568.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:23:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
720.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:28:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
85.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:28:37 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a004fc8a74b1cc15eda07d14dca94b930eb0eaaec743b8f0bee9176af1935
641.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:28:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x001d00588dcff697e960049b8f80a959cda449ec562cde85f4e469404722e6bb
720.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:28:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x0029002e0028fdd5ac33597675cc5d719db38373055a5a815692d0fdacab9ee9