Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:26:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,501.7
Unexplained QUAI: 353.02
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
3.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
9
69.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
30,854.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 30855 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,146.73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,047.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,114.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
7,296.4 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
30,854.72 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
10,365.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:24:25 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
22,488.21 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:28:02 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
7,568.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:23:12 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
2,134.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:29:14 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,868.69 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:22:01 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate17 tx
33,838.01 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:30:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
825.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
Tx: 0x000900265d72764ee510b735f13e2d8bc706f6f4593107937a29181b56455f46
1,052.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032eA9aDB717D77F224f20d292A7e76E4df3E71
Tx: 0x0007002bac51717a5c18b09d6e6cd3065eafa1f22e45c027788718b9a425f72f
2,608.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Tx: 0x0041004af924c640f680c0c96d1cecb8236d78d13395e034eddfae97e2bbaee4
107.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0039c24f921a6d6Ff484e2ecc0F8fb3957DcCa17
Tx: 0x000d00614a49f6255b06b9a7eb5e0d111daf5cd6fbb5a73c2517cf9ab84aa573
173.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x000800736e03443f3b965297efb274229b14d263ed14640e000b609ecd1af677
134.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x0006006605de86de0984b452fed0f15ba1d0ef682db38aafa9df9b62e992f6ae
4,114.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Tx: 0x00420003ff6875c5a238bdbd4965fa6c77009ddc98f41d7be88f280d426a0e01
1,485.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Tx: 0x00270005493205ce90f65cb167a3a0ebbb0870c2dc05b5aa73e7055d5958ed8f
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:26:33 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00090020408d487e4b5546f3824da10bc789bef4713cbd1fcfc55dca95a9e9fd
