Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,317.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
2,868.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2869 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,602.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,327.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,361.16 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,259.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Net receiver
Unknown type
274.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,868.69 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:22:01 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,446.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:20:50 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
7,568.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:23:12 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,246.55 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:19:38 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
10,365.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:24:25 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate34 tx
41,575.7 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
7,296.4 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:25:38 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
6,720.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:17:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,327.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
119.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600aE40542fE596950dB3a89F2B149276F10B6
Tx: 0x00400029f3a695012ace4f7ea0c2be06c26019a7eeb72a101a58acd3f11482a1
1,259.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x0028004277c03cf999bff54abdf532ea42b2d59af6782cd694b25e8ab2ca20f9
274.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x001e001add8ed6682984d60edfd116e3e08ea61ca7e4ad3a0f5389833034db76
21.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00377dfCeFF8d0cC35cB4c584660571e2271607E
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00560018e301c67197a83c511fab277dbd32ee24c89ba05fe24f82a19626f583
66.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:53 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0068111a1333d0de097e0b7fd6b1bc5ec3db8576093c3efd4c9cd0443025
101.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0025E8E71fFFA63065C2b52DAf56CAeA23f8936F
Tx: 0x007b005f3dcc581083ec41656d3d75602c01ab24baeaa68ce791be9b8c84994f
146.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:17 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x0001006a67bf28d649a8103ce38f6359890b07bc6c3146c9d8439dd921060e1f
2,327.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:22:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Tx: 0x0019006c29e1943ea499a7dc0b7d12ed7ba292f6ea951179648949d9ce12b096