Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,355.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
3,355.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3355 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,372.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,372.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,023.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
898.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
656.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
18,220.85 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:15:57 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
6,495.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:14:45 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
6,720.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:17:09 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
34,394.73 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:13:32 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate34 tx
41,575.7 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
-4 min
18 tx
24,206.89 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:12:19 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
3,246.55 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:19:38 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
37,866.69 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:11:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,372.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
124.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0007004c1c5fa9685af19443ec18e27403f641a01e1cde36f6fc7e3baa7df00e
139.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x0028000f6acea83b184f306b600e1b5b900bf61341440db0a4d8b151f265c07a
140.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004da2233CD6F20Ca1379E54b4D70f2bC0d5c799
Tx: 0x002c004854ab6408c5b025c897261eb62c46eec80e1359eb57cd45185806fdc5
898.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0005001c77659025119a5c54ffb78aeae581eb81884c89607d2657c6e03dfc84
163.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B72C33a5C7cFa448223c657b1ec0Bb181C23A
Tx: 0x006b003ef92e844133923a8a4b98948686e10b6b6f7d618dc9b298ed024ab2d0
515.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d0Edc831bF62375a7b8D3e7DC0F1914eE8d21
Tx: 0x005d0022ab8c7029c17caec802ca69fac156c451f2703af15d3f63522e90cd08
1,372.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0019005a619112b5855a1bac29632cf64f07608eab3df1e660caa76c4cdb3770