Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:11:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,203.5
Unexplained QUAI: 21,663.19
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
15
93.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
37,866.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00032ccF21143c19c75c9A9463C346e7DEEb1338.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 37867 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00032ccF21143c19c75c9A9463C346e7DEEb1338.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,495.52 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00032ccF21143c19c75c9A9463C346e7DEEb1338
Net sender
Unknown type
10,162.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,638.17 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,828.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,512.45 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,495.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate16 tx
37,866.69 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:11:07 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
20,112.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:09:55 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
24,206.89 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:12:19 A.M.
-2 min
39 tx
4,324.23 QUAI • 55 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:08:44 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:07:32 A.M.
+3 min
17 tx
34,394.73 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:13:32 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
6,495.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:14:45 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,748.24 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:06:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,162.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00032ccF21143c19c75c9A9463C346e7DEEb1338
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
1,047.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x007900157ed5f01fe533f1ea067d8aeaaac8aeca04fc5c3d242f1c0b2d8d6e34
102.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00161338BFD5bb3B8700B2Ef52007159EceE2AA4
Tx: 0x007d004c975cb827ac7738389554265e79ae1d0c5a603a45f3f020cb5fed1059
108.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d0c11B58e7EC222F200e47C974dc2a574B25b
Tx: 0x00720039b66acfa8e91bb6dfb801f6c6650371bde1c2e0d0b72a9387c4db284a
915.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x0007001fa76cd916d34aa661e494f6c27281097e442bbeac830f75b9612b2cce
143.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00134d83cDb40d6CbEbAd441729BF1C9D7B98FF5
Tx: 0x00650008b96029a4ec123a9ea3b0e367167bef338d28037f291b3bf5c2a4dd22
912.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x0021007f7c72ea4b7d241a1c212946d982219544bbe4d32e06e9e15664d2f06b
1,012.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000A7e513516dFFaAd6EE1Cc5CD5F3C229c8c90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004700786d1418c290a96ffea7246a83caf45eb2795359b27c440719c57e1664
103.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001000290e480a40de899680f1b7930146cd14db3a8d30703eb2a8605c7346ed
111.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f005eed3c493273065473d8f2cf5d49b7eb39510192aecb96902f23b8fd53
105.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f005004674282aacad6556ff12741823c1cc232bef47fa3ae9b0556633d1e
10,162.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00032ccF21143c19c75c9A9463C346e7DEEb1338
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000572d5c21951480cb73f890b4ac89525b5e9ef7e9fbc70f8b273b254174
101.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x0021C62359cbFb14042ad28b2Ded753589faBE5b
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004900445b9f8e59f5b79b3efa14ad44c2aa4d3ac220e2620ae5844823d3fdae
674.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Tx: 0x0065006226db9ba81f841dadfc550274bf9d12f390f256f87382566f11c36867
491.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00096c96Df1b4095D10e101ac2A85Ece114cE35D
Tx: 0x00410037beaf71b3d88929a71c7fcfbcb6e87cf041d28548936d609fadf22e5a
210.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x0038006b657cef9fe23042ba45d231523efdaebf374590f190d1115fc280e27b
