Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 2:10:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,321.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
8.2x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
35,321.78 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35322 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 2:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,949.79 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
8,002.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,992.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
20,112.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:09:55 A.M.
-1 min
39 tx
4,324.23 QUAI • 55 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:08:44 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate16 tx
37,866.69 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:11:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:07:32 A.M.
+2 min
18 tx
24,206.89 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:12:19 A.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,748.24 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:06:19 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
34,394.73 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:13:32 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 2:05:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
8,002.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x0005295193e50b568595266A48Bbbb842313a99f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x002200630799eb6a8a1eb9ef55ee89284337054b7e2c5fe0981fb36c6284aa2a
120.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0009305d3260ec90aA88DA7EF7107e57EB1F25ce
Tx: 0x003f007e290b9af37b9256629c8c95198fbd845dbcd3b79e77128ea5e2f416dd
120.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:41 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0078000bdd32e087e46e481d9fa5bc75089ebe08f2480d577c74a2e6f33497ec
139.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000dD45541bfE94D596Ed13796303561012858F7
Tx: 0x002100636ec36e1ac3ac83dcda0517b913d5b07bb61b50355e908c4fcf88f16e
3,767.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000893196199599B2336b12625aF713cEc638F0d
Tx: 0x0012000a07464bd67fbf70e5cddaa434e7f60ede07bc43885a212a956b39e058
1,373.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000516Ebada2e9BF6B50604C0141CBF170bF208B
Tx: 0x0038002e4dda4f5f1ccb591d2006518930b2ebc82e7bd1093b982b72c92aec5d
120.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000D852Db84134C988dd36e091871992121baF46
Tx: 0x0033003d942ee5853678a7034c2edb6c849d49a601d129bc550197c559b661bb
573.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00048382ed2c81d02e19FF5bCd040A10FF8f5963
Tx: 0x002400372c9ec2c2c5600b1b4b53745c9ff1479cb6df77dd5e2e4f3c2a29dcaa
1,103.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Tx: 0x005400668ae7e2997e96f719f52a44fd36ccc460e5f801563bf2e27b00a63daa
19,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 2:10:02 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000c00422de2d4d88cff2df96fc7fe5193455e7f4597ca2e8d49d51635846e10
