Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:35:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,998.28
Unexplained QUAI: 24,996.02
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
10.0x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
49,994.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 49994 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
49,994.3 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:35:14 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:34:03 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
24,998.28 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:36:26 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
100,017.92 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:32:51 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,952.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:31:40 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:37:37 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
5,960.84 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:38:49 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
55.88 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:30:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.05 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:56 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b005f88e6e4d8a9404f6deb375c12480052836228e5856e5f84caef9422d8
19,999.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:35:29 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006d006ea2af692206a6cb67df17c9122dc1a26fd066d327b1a5a5cf46c8333d