Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 1:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,252.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
292x previous minute
373x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,197.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20198 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
198.88 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
Net sender
Unknown type
105.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
59.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
20,197.94 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:23:19 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
69.19 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:22:08 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:20:56 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
54.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:24:31 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
30 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:19:45 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
5,954.05 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:25:42 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,998.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:18:33 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:26:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
54.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a0005502fbd8a21a4147d11d61702273ed26dcafaf97a22fa78fa6d69a737
105.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00297724F330309Fe02A551cC33e46EE3583bee0
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0000004d4c1f227649ab3dcae8118cdd06a7ef212634919498e8f75c071d8cc2
20.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00280050a98089d7c625e217a87c0b5cd3f200b4782b2dfb5833a89d297fa253
59.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0043001acf34900321a34e7d67792862f5e2afd57141eed0fb2904e6305d8e6d
19,999.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0032004a4821e44278545305c2ae850cb4d422bfdafa5996c84bc42211439ac2
13.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 1:23:00 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005500171772df3d2821b7b7ab6ff69fb3f6d798fa2b1a5c2f53817cbd83d7a8