Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:58:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,168.38
Unexplained QUAI: 13,830.67
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
212x previous minute
3.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
19,999.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
6,068.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,068.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0026670588728380A876A1Ef25Fe7edfD81E4280
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 6,068.38 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:58:14 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
94.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:57:01 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
6,168.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:59:26 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:55:50 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:54:38 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:00:38 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,014.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 1:01:49 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
170.31 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:53:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,068.38 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:58:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:58:45 A.M.
From: 0x0026670588728380A876A1Ef25Fe7edfD81E4280
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d0073748be9eb6f2301989338077b7abb52fbaec15c23dd0b6b9f77a4893e
6,068.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:58:14 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x005900134ed2831fdd137149dfe8202ce5d14deac31a7f8c38e18ba711c3bc6b