Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:35:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,365.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,210.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00509B7D0FF19eb42eCa5FCFF12fD3566b93eE7F
Net sender
Unknown type
211.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,210.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
9,603.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:34:22 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:35:33 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
264.48 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:33:10 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
25,375.33 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:36:46 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
32 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:31:57 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:37:58 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:30:46 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
75 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:39:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.04 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0033000c322718d8e9058106cb491cac6cca2117303f1783c9ef9845b5d7f173
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0016003a309da7abef075ee97528aa5c5994558920a201f31eaf80b9d507bf2f
22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000b000030875c0202796c765b92c2aac259d8d27c8c13ad193ef8fd82f075d3
211.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x00509B7D0FF19eb42eCa5FCFF12fD3566b93eE7F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025000a788843b1dd33b4aab353f4cb443672090edc3c23e08c93c9d2d5786f
4,999.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0029c8e56102e6bf57fe3f9732c157f1634e55b37013ab10b7fdbd96b6a7
55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x00551e4dAC20d75c6d40f8af707109560D5e80A6
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0016002901671d4d6679497ad7ea1b28934eeb631856860dcd388e3604e62bf1
33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:35:57 A.M.
From: 0x006a2868356044940BEb8773B0ca13a2b0A4AF62
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005b007a76fd3ac6563f5f392bcdcb3e73d5c5beab5cef0525e0e3ddbdbde2c3