Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 12:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 12:05:00 A.M. to 09/20/2026, 12:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,573.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,573.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1574 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 12:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,043 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,043 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
467.66 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
247.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
120.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 467.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
52 tx
1,386.74 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:04:29 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,573.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:05:40 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
682.26 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:03:16 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate20 tx
291,855.03 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:06:52 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
271,019.55 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:02:03 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:08:03 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
20,017.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:00:52 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 12:09:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,043 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
247.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e002fbabbc67f529c1c10d85ca33e3c2b2bac9dcc5e2b855b5c619ae4dd19
99.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b00215c1d31e7a67afaea328036aaa1b3b98c4659f3bb762348809726f31b
120.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d002b3c4e7ef69cfb92eac2c4335bbaa1091308d5f9c1f69aaff9e6b4d318
63.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Tx: 0x00490009d9be9828acccf6c5b1e7459be13127d59f4e46cbca464583e88cd3d3
1,043 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 12:05:23 A.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x00680078d107c52234c92d0911d7a81c9ad3ee49cd5f18d031624b5418593adb