Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:42:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,404.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,404.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46 • 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3404 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46 • 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
Net sender
Unknown type
2,010 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,010 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
394.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 394.3 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:41:46 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:40:35 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,404.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:42:58 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
60,390.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:44:09 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,040.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:39:23 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
394.3 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:45:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:38:10 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,007,886.22 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:36:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,010 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:42:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
To: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
394.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:42:48 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
Tx: 0x0064005ac7e34762eb5fe002ecd4f8dbea4d5090bd44ec8488ce79a65adc136a
2,010 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:42:18 P.M.
From: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
To: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Tx: 0x003100251bc7abd2d53d12f989cd500ccf4e10ffd0651b448821fa646a3995b3
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:42:18 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002600534dc039a7db60bb49ee0d5e1be4b41de3afcb02b77ed5aed545ff842c