Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 11:13:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,628.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
2,350.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2351 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
2,379.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,379.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
2,199.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,199.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2,350.89 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:13:10 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:11:58 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
2,379.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:14:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:10:47 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:09:35 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,400.58 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:15:33 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:16:44 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 11:08:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,379.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2,379.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:37 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Tx: 0x005600342066d7151e637d360438e035f7db631eca6b68110c146d56a3252b10
16.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:04 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000700466ecfd116c0ae874fba120b28eac65a04828eb697c13aa7dfbb6212b5
14.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:04 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a002eec7bc7d2555134f5fbe791229072d5fa020f58a96b0d69063932aa6b
17.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:04 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00070038bcbae2ddffcc4afbe2f9ea3b0042e02cb539bdc3d58cfd75224aa93d
2,199.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 11:13:04 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Tx: 0x005a000993e30c1a30ccfe65ca03d39ca2c074610221c64558bc1a7fc3d47578