Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:54:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,259.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
15,739.57 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
6,966.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,785.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,779.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,207.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 15,739.57 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:54:03 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
23,556.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:52:51 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
16,259.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:55:14 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:51:40 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:56:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
33.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:50:29 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
151.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:57:37 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
79.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:49:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,966.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
520 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
From: 0x0048C83191389cE48dB2eC4c87fbDd552AE6A1D1
To: 0x003aAE2F719eD33BAe95E69784e8Db030BE350ec
Tx: 0x00130003dfc748438c26921b99998b9698b10dcd68ed191709aa2bf975f50e59
6,966.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000100087ee348161ecca71ce82e95555e4efb6329beadc97558d8be3a847dab
2,779.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005001a783d6c5277e9e05b510bbc4f1816fe17f4d9812ef5f0cf7f6e0df860
2,207.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d005a50ceb6b2099e655eb23d5cea9d610ddbe0ec0a8bb71d493dc5cfcb3d
3,785.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:54:30 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052005dd9d24009fc3fc13052c3a0ba5eab310bed1a44b8599a0824bda4c1b5