Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:47:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,140.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
208x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
19,140.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007f1AF4B9B1E2F41181bC54bC258029F1Af5465 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19141 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007f1AF4B9B1E2F41181bC54bC258029F1Af5465 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007f1AF4B9B1E2F41181bC54bC258029F1Af5465
Net sender
Unknown type
11,842.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,842.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005F3E15C79f5f9Bc4c3866Efd9C9aFaCA9B3a9A
Net sender
Unknown type
7,298.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,298.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,842.11 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
7,803.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:46:53 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
91.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:45:41 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,140.55 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:48:05 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
11,891.06 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:44:30 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
79.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:49:17 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
33.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:50:29 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:43:18 P.M.
-5 min
11 tx
10,506.8 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:42:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,842.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:47:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007f1AF4B9B1E2F41181bC54bC258029F1Af5465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7,298.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:47:37 P.M.
From: 0x005F3E15C79f5f9Bc4c3866Efd9C9aFaCA9B3a9A
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0065001d1542b569960a9e4748221e619512fadd4f9deefad8fe9fa394d1445c
11,842.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:47:37 P.M.
From: 0x007f1AF4B9B1E2F41181bC54bC258029F1Af5465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e00787b05e4c29f229d6001317667d49fbb7f5ace6fc714b8bdd6269c2121