Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:41:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,506.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
10,506.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 10507 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,426.8 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,826.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d62E57a5C7d0135D9d089490C5243DB6c7B5C
Net sender
Unknown type
1,760.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
Net sender
Unknown type
1,751.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,335.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,426.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate40 tx
42,456.87 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:40:54 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:39:42 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
10,506.8 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:42:07 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
12,151.07 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:38:30 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:43:18 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:37:16 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
11,891.06 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:44:30 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,998.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:36:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,826.56 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
503.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x007cd5fb5d690292C4cEa469b18d374BBDE6B4FC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b005b72cd788c9a6f780069a4a714a9ea06e5422e7d1e7716e1d0600c154a
568.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000B8d2bbc8298639c7c40410cDAD7bC93A8442
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004400263bd6cde8e69cb8459a62be1095669407eb92c3ef02c970d056f9a968
1,335.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a004999d73775445aec44d590674a7312b439b04e744714d06ffc5ac2428b
581.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0015baad4b1ab54b0854258ba1962e054b71c6505f0645e2916c8a4d33db
1,760.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x000d62E57a5C7d0135D9d089490C5243DB6c7B5C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061001fbdf31b665cb00f2e5962694bcf502f07be307a19135a42a7b7477063
1,751.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110055459de6da928d945549409eaad2132b37e4861edfbf6bd7ea93f5b00e
704.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x006843aE3842531829ED6AdBC299F667a54974DE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0044885626d94f18b9d7754392625ad47ef253092319005528a9626f78e2
684.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019002f251389094046238397708288eb9d3a0d8ea63a9228a7153757cf980e
710.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x0022Bd8091257f5E0DAf3A544C479Fc529a3090d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f007a96193f8cc393ff5658bf069095147e61296657c46d67c234a40345ba
80 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:56 P.M.
From: 0x0026670588728380A876A1Ef25Fe7edfD81E4280
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0067003855afeba1381a591f20aed122c1d4e828ad18b157dd0fa6e7dd77343f
1,826.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:41:38 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540078da7e796e5a36b684332b4ac7608e66b33a099d8992c4f475b108a08f
