Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 10:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 10:05:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 10:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,035.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.5x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
10
20.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
59
Asset volume
951.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 952 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 10:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
952.11 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
111.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
109.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
108.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
107.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 952.11 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
951.73 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:05:03 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
654.29 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:03:51 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
1,035.12 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:06:16 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
114.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:02:39 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate24 tx
1,043.84 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:07:28 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:01:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:08:39 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 10:00:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
83.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x003d004da752d23274ea029940461a57921f5481e7ce1e14ddaad7cea7946a6c
104.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a000f7b39802adfe97838f7ee4f44572ada786614411e56504056328c2d99
104.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0006006aaeebb92e48bd528600e417287e830e9d3cb4a5c51ab8929402c09eb6
111.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062000681e75fda672e3ddead627b2e5d12cb20e21566d94f24b1c362713864
107.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0032d3bf35392005a65e8769ee35f867e8809d568681623c0c091178c6f9
109.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018007e756a0c30e0d78ece660ff93ceb8fb1bc2df1173eb2f61a56ed3156e5
100.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x0054AC5475929f1c6bAaa2347fD90c2ede8e5174
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0035c4cabaa7328636fec753fa157e38702e6ac3a0c40797313938fd23af
108.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035000016cad99285fecac495aec1a6f7413463c2ea2cf5577afa9b6585b1ee
105.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070002d980103c1a14b927e23106ac43bf4a2addd653e6b446dcd94db452f1
101.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 10:05:54 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00170021faf4a5ff5ff0e664dcb6750a98958ffa6f87585f518aa33dbe914ef0