Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:22:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,947.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
3.6x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,602.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1602 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
Net sender
Unknown type
2,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
447.78 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
Net sender
Unknown type
307.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
59.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,602.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:22:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
449 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:20:54 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
2,947.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:23:18 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
7,192.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:19:43 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
32,999.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:18:32 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
20,003.49 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:24:30 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
32.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:25:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
81.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:17:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
59.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:46 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007300666ea9dac34bc41fa7edcad8edfd66c4d4be21720220c2fc619a890832
6.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:46 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00700056c3db324f7e57ecf5b28ae21c2fbc4413b1eee1ef890257b6fab3fc75
307.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:46 P.M.
From: 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00730051a5d6c0df8fc4853b92b9818d73e8f105869dfee247b3776d19d86e96
21.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:42 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00420000e61b792bda474d1f718a30add9ff4a414cbbca9632f45fc3814d5d8f
49.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:42 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002e00567030480124c56b09044f2d7d90ed33300577c2159889b4f6b10120fc
4.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:42 P.M.
From: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b003c5713ddd16ac956a16766ff63bdfbbf374d2c875009edda4d9bafcaf8
2,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:22:42 P.M.
From: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x007b0072429df7b0523d472d39effef7cc5f32d4dfd6d97f534efb997d3da439