Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:19:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,192.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
89x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
7,192.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589 • 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 7193 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589 • 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
Net sender
Unknown type
7,070 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
122.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
91.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
70 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
32,999.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:18:32 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
7,192.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:19:43 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
81.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:17:18 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
449 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:20:54 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:16:07 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,602.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:22:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:14:55 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,947.78 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:23:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:19:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
To: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
7,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:19:03 P.M.
From: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
To: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
Tx: 0x00650032fcf117d8cdbcce0eac8aca41f96c4cf03548a7af8770043caaa13282
70 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:19:03 P.M.
From: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x006d0011f671eaa01e36c98c3bc3bab18620c2c51b0e5a600eabc561f112dff7
31.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:19:03 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0061002a0629e7e4d3896738d52f205a00c65866011852bd22760be640a05b69
91.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:19:03 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00450045ca50b24ba4073e49b7ff9eede14ff6d38e56288ca8d49215da4959e4