Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 9:18:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,999.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
6.2x above local average
407x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
32,999.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
Net sender
Unknown type
13,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
81.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:17:18 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
32,999.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:18:32 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:16:07 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
7,192.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:19:43 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:14:55 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
449 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:20:54 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
57.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:13:44 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,602.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 9:22:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:18:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
13,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:18:11 P.M.
From: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
To: 0x001eC85EaFDf8c9fdf0f1957C88DBb86aA4EBAD3
Tx: 0x004b004a2bcc4fda046d4631b75c13d1b111c9996ca162cffd6f86d336c4ad28
19,999.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 9:18:11 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0049007835e0f6eb7d520526f62043ebdda75c3491199e5c8a88bb2924105f00