Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 8:13:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 480
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 14
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
14 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net sender
Unknown type
480 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
480 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
Net sender
Unknown type
14 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f51EF260F613d279c1920B224a6442c6f9f28A
Net receiver
Unknown type
14 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
106.66 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:12:25 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:13:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:11:13 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
480 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:14:48 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
66.18 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:10:01 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
112.52 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:16:00 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
121.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:08:49 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
108.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:17:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
480 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:13:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
14 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:13:53 P.M.
From: 0x002b2596EcF05C93a31ff916E8b456DF6C77c750
To: 0x00f51EF260F613d279c1920B224a6442c6f9f28A
Tx: 0x006e0089beed537ebf758f2ef5eb5e28d182b4444f5be5d9eea8c0912e81b9e5
480 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 8:13:50 P.M.
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0055005ae1478832dcdf20c8181fd3f12a839620170083fd4dfdb27d71ba0294