Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 7:56:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 7:56:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 7:57:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,100
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
22x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
2,100 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE • 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2100 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE • 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 7:56:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:55:40 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,100 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:56:52 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
95.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:54:28 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
630 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:58:04 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:53:17 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:59:15 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
29.73 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:52:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 8:00:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:56:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
To: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:56:35 P.M.
From: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
To: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
Tx: 0x003a002159ee04561d0b0db6e41d1aea88c084a6e26d391316ccd687527e2221
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:56:35 P.M.
From: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00480062e6e23ad5c68910538f3e01412324b6cc6cebd09cacce3a474eea94c4
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:56:18 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x0020434e80B1f92Da412F72e8D0edfF1D5FD91FE
Tx: 0x005b004c036c74f0ac33bfa014aa541e1ff23fe0a2e4358b7e15b78f95b4a547
