Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 7:26:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 112.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
112.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 112 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
65.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
47.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
100 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:25:49 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
87.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:24:37 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
112.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:28:12 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
114.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:23:25 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
410 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:29:24 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:22:13 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:21:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
65.25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
47.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:26:34 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005e001a1c51620de0a39acea63e99ba8946cac1174a35b5a68a11b9425a2942
65.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0039007e171e9056763e7454e98b6a3e3aea58f5cfafd31ed3375c88258a7b26