Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 6:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 6:58:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 6:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 211.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
6.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
107.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 107 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 6:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
107.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
104.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
62.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
42.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
107.4 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:58:15 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
17.44 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:57:03 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:55:52 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
104.35 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:59:31 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:54:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
83.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:00:43 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,467.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 7:01:54 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
2,132.82 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:53:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:58:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
42.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:58:50 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0006006f408b2f73e7708a8af15df3a9f16530e68d9c1ea22726cc4f9178f2bb
62.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:58:50 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005c0017361550244ea2dc80c1ad935aa3b744a584ab2562636df1f4b2895c1d
107.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:58:04 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003e0065567474c4f20e21dba1381d42aa7c1142bc82ac467c9c2e1e4ea654be
