Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 6:15:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,201.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
56x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
5,110.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5111 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 -> 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,201.32 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
Net sender
Unknown type
7,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
110.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
90.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 → 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
2 repeated flows • 7,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
5,110.73 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:15:16 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
90.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:14:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,090.59 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:16:27 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
44.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:12:53 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
4,223.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:11:42 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:17:39 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
194.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:10:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:18:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:15:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:15:51 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0048004dae0ec1cfb8df36e6b5d5e7d0266d418001c417608e77f68c00784c1a
90.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:15:24 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00580056a1aab64a815ab66c2757f97f94056640b543b6baa1c350e8fc861d10
110.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:15:06 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0057004b9cc6c8a86875b1e83d3ebf131e3a1b58f6f4b790a6cee748eb5577fd
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:15:06 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d003807b6d20f589ac24d966631deffaea72016cbf7696ff5c44ecf7972ac