Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,223.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
123x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,223.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 4223 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,223.4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,017.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d64721174E85dDa0d49d2df87AEd43aF5a8F0
Net sender
Unknown type
602.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Fe66B90fa3e1Ae79211b797160624F3aFd234
Net sender
Unknown type
500.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
102.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,223.4 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
194.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:10:30 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,223.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:11:42 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
34.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:09:19 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
44.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:12:53 P.M.
-3 min
18 tx
1,106.17 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:08:06 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
90.56 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:14:05 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate19 tx
30,031.9 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:06:53 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
5,110.73 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:15:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,017.15 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
500.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x000Fe66B90fa3e1Ae79211b797160624F3aFd234
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560009820aab5b1f56f8d90132496c9ab6ec03a8bde1ebcbaf55fc2f2fe851
3,017.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0078a29c6985f6739b596d2937d5b7bae9280e592c37c6c644f10594c313
602.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x007d64721174E85dDa0d49d2df87AEd43aF5a8F0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00400003dd24f7ad81896defa95f45f6fa1e5ae4849c32b2479fd8eef669695b
102.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070046e2fbd8cdd61abf8ab95df279ae2d05edeb6bc647f05e24bf0911aa63