Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 6:09:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 141.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
34.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 34 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
141.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
75.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
66.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
34.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:09:19 P.M.
-1 min
18 tx
1,106.17 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:08:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate19 tx
30,031.9 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:06:53 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
194.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:10:30 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
2,145.5 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:05:41 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
4,223.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:11:42 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
44.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:12:53 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
62.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 6:04:29 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
75.52 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:09:38 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
75.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b0038abb922bc34ec325773f85b5627b269f65e542889b2b9c2690d5caa48
66.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 6:09:38 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007b0032ace8bdbd591bb9cd0513cf97bd3348c139c1d34665742f67bffe1754