Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 4:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 4:43:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 4:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 164.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 4:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
115.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
115.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
49.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:43:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:42:04 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
453.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:44:27 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
125.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:40:53 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
154.42 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:39:42 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:45:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
110.87 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:46:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
115.9 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:43:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
115.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:43:55 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00300042091dc2db0a2c7f8f07108ad80fb4a08d2c144bd32587eba0ad096781
49.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:43:55 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x005e005f12ee8ba7b03ca7720b60c85d43a119d4f202a496077868377719181d
