Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 4:05:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 978.59
Unexplained QUAI: 9,843.3
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
6.3x above local average
19x previous minute
9.8x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
24
46.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
62
Asset volume
10,821.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 10822 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
741.93 QUAI across 22 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
236.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
165.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
139.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
131.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 236.67 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
10,821.89 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:05:01 P.M.
-1 min
51 tx
576.66 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:03:49 P.M.
+1 min
28 tx
1,106.92 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:06:13 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:02:36 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
40.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:07:25 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:01:25 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:08:36 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,228.18 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:00:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
165.52 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
24 transactions
131.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040009a829b51575d5cda0f081b8c4158b2e903a71e1db2e6983c3ca5f152f
105.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f000ccc2713fe901a41bb19b895ff9144884799990afe1c672bfe4b7c634b
5.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x007a00046be2b99c642fc75d9be3d9806d432531562be19361747acc734b6552
7.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x007f007b8c3bf50f031c2fa983da4b047c1b91b2693d42b3645cbfd0e394a4a1
13.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Tx: 0x0029004bfeb6476e186b861a9868fea1c3ce0192cb243330f92eb4336c685300
99.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
Tx: 0x0066007644e2c3b659a1a255ae25c7470028afd95a8d98adaa1f693d60ea2048
9.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Tx: 0x00130021c84c30ec2981799408041c1793fa39a5318c0a6bff2679f73e35a2a1
30.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0005007b5afd28e03fb8c64cefe0286c3f69e14beb5a3c37036f508d9be693c2
6.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001b629a8992fc22B5122cE8F5B5B5753B62FDE4
Tx: 0x0010007ce7632e1860448c65f8f200d3767f9a1138f0c0ab28a7fe52ddc8cbcc
6.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
Tx: 0x003800377ff6d9958a7f29bcd1d245a0d4c1b74f62bb63d48147f8aea08bb59a
36.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x005000296d460e6f04187a456abeb4c9b532928104e1be1854826a963f4bd764
120.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x007d004d2e302133be0d68d875edf1d83ecf592ffb84e0d8f9e1e13a57560b97
9.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x007d005e587da0da4eece1b4d186d5f72827740aef57c711f0f7c8798f181729
15.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005B1Ab74A953fe766F7433312BAf5872bfc3178
Tx: 0x002a003d2ab652638bf79e12a6ed2ea7e771b75046f62a0d042df54b84e49b41
5.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x0005001c3f55cd6b565dd3f8ebbefaf4fb2066d10ff571441117aebc2b0de3ef
6.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x005c004d2865da291d7f8e5adc9adc255408d15fcebf22dcdeb00c122fc78d61
139.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00100051e2a0a933a11d51e507f5791ded0d26399124bfdd47b2aaf2f502bac1
14.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00590036acbf591cf97f1e979894e65ae6f4447a7f2b266d032e1d8adc6c04b3
4.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x00390013c7301efed8b22b340cf72793c11b49aaaa174af2052a8b0a1ab4634b
165.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0034001c6d53ce9a15667f1468e616d904867b0c5efca33ca5789b25fdf1e5f7
6.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Tx: 0x00690063135ad3d765ed71c9558eacc1bc73ad988ae48539af603002a7044a71
23.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0013001c502eb8e307de236416614c65c7faa4e96c4de58c23037f99a8b9fc32
9.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002CB9e989ADEFb45a1ea0448c509DF7Cd2677eC
Tx: 0x007d007ef947e0f39e37575a2c6e9b2cce104e751287edff0c895916379031c1
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 4:05:52 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x005c0038f2a7c647ac3c24384ac5de78c248e6992852754ae1899fafc8ffd821
