Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 3:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 3:59:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,228.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 3:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,228.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
118.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
110.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:59:02 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
99.45 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:57:50 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
1,228.18 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:00:14 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:56:39 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:01:25 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
73.2 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:55:27 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 4:02:36 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:54:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:59:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
110.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:59:28 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a000ce5493d29392b8598fa7ef4684ac49d271ebea30792f2bfd8d67d9429
118.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:59:28 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d005c4acdd027ce8171c6346c86d2a125d096d2f87bca2b684ed2425f941c
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:59:28 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b004a39b0d30a98453b6328fb1ec0ec87cd3c1cbb2e59a5a9bc5c6f320f7e