Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 3:35:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,186.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
160.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
110.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
50.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:35:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
7,506.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:33:54 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
5,186.45 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:36:18 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
126.64 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:32:43 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:37:29 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:31:31 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:38:41 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
40.93 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:30:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
110.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:47 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0032001cafeab897cd14dc31ac9e4e65cf7c925070fe2f02dcdd60eba378fb2b
26.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:47 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0010007e9efc13f8d00b231619ed56e05db80edadc3ac9351505958d8ae60750
50.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:30 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00410004c65ee02828761d3dfa9e44352148e9d7018ac3b761c3c572048d3f8b
4,999.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:35:30 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0044a2139edfe5eef1ec448836ce9612cb6eb143b3fd070aed8e0986d90d
