Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,884.32
Unexplained QUAI: 270,177.83
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
1.1x previous minute
19x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
30
Observable rows
10
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
285,062.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 285062 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,877.23 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Net sender
Unknown type
1,761.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net sender
Unknown type
1,685.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B6254DfddA8cFdf5f4A35c25591C0A600b0D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,674.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,672.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,877.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate30 tx
285,062.15 QUAI • 51 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:23:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
259,987.97 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:21:54 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
14,884.32 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:24:18 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
56.36 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:20:42 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
2,142.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:19:31 P.M.
+3 min
42 tx
45,351.22 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:25:31 P.M.
+4 min
13 tx
9,079.11 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:26:44 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
66.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 3:18:14 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,761.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
7.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0016007122eded9d9d7604f4a04108017e87ac91d2ae7e2a47b4e218441eebec
1,645.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004F62fFC8a66f549Df1FA3079e8A1508006c20B
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0012d018bf12e94b3f3b921498b974bac663f18418700c71307eee602f20
1,590.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710061a2e2bb21bfc2ae61f070780f5a71b563a757a2f05d8b55c4ce4bf83c
1,566.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005700000a154d7214d6aa2d5db307a51e7ba99f80b3e5a6627611a0b9c48b66
1,685.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0012c9e5fd4738c597a441fe6b21a89f0b86cf57497edfb50ec2407907cf
1,627.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770000be9338f6eabc0c9d6febe0ff39ebf965c5e9ffe442b80d184d081541
1,672.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004AeC00875BcAc8b246F75a9375B5521f475A85
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c001342e603705804c6e469b162eb545ad0a59275e800782cc4cbe3c31d46
1,674.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x0015B6254DfddA8cFdf5f4A35c25591C0A600b0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000009a8d0009d42d6e643ff198037891d0186ac9030a7eb276caa13be0d12
1,653.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x0024563B56546f0A5a8f8c20f1E183e092bd974D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0018c3f923ff63b17a84156fbef0e716e2bcf5ccc4bf293eba8ad509902a
1,761.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 3:23:07 P.M.
From: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0072001deb52dc6f779766112e0e302e342ca0ce1eec9de9aec11d197e8bbc64