Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:41:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:42:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 26,543.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000F53Dcdb13b7a85720E59E6Ba6545c4B018D0e
Net sender
Unknown type
6,389.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,389.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
91.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,389.82 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:41:10 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
82.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:39:58 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
26,543.83 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:42:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:38:46 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
12,410.66 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:37:33 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
170.53 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:43:34 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
17.08 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:44:47 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:36:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:41:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
63.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:41:36 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0006000cbc222a83b495afdab9c52dcc42249cbd93563924b58f29cdd898a398
91.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:41:36 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0033006b2b7e53ac2ee0458b02ae68f4ac63ec6a7c93eda0de94ec87cf64e69c
19,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:41:36 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001f00420526496cf9ea7f1309ceec84aa1dfedc21d9c0515dec4a15afbe731b
6,389.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:41:36 P.M.
From: 0x000F53Dcdb13b7a85720E59E6Ba6545c4B018D0e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a007d99d9dccc0409045d7d161858b84fd90928c9c590f390b37815574aea