Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:23:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,856.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
79.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 80 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Balanced
Unknown type
9,201.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,103.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Balanced
Unknown type
4,098 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
79.75 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:23:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:22:01 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
33,856.42 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:24:25 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
49.93 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:20:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:19:38 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
62.98 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:25:36 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,097.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:26:48 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
121.43 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:18:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:48 P.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Tx: 0x005f0060fb07d7229e7309acb74bf9c008f2c0bfe048490fb0b84cd806dadb04
33.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000c005c04d7fe2c41c50a2db276140195e570cbaffac79364c922fdbf5592be
74.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003600311e27547d8b6d71c8153bb171df3b086c7fcd29f694f664a4419ecb38
118.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0025000569d16783777f7c651322266dc79cf43f812bd5513c5c60c0fc4e5007
98.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003600796bd8544cbd4541dc5f5d781e0c09c05727c88fe95ece0514b1a5f7d6
9,103.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Tx: 0x00630020a440cb7d54d7b4e3ec88d2efe2803cc7190c1af1c8b493f2b92a342c
19,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:43 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x002800693d07c849db69844c6601d0f0f5199b44c08dd13634cd336749c958aa
21.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:12 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002100294b6359193e8ec87991e81172ae4eababf64e725fe5f46fcc46da64c6
2,098 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:12 P.M.
From: 0x005EC664828C16a5302Ab94087F991c20eCa7c7C
To: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Tx: 0x000a00727c75b4233bdbe0247c1f8e89671491dac452e873fbb5f85eb9b27554
310 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:23:12 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000b00626e2671e7b870a49230d6aa199d858267ed82f5f77b5cf06da1b7369c