Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:11:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 396.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
95.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 96 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
300.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
198.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
101.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
95.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
95.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 300.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
95.72 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:11:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:10:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
300.36 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:12:28 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
152.77 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:08:53 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
69.65 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:07:42 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
580.62 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:13:40 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate25 tx
23,381.12 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:06:31 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
77.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:14:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
198.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:11:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
101.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:11:59 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510050e4fbbbcfc831252f81612775e28ca22bef59201f8049dcff5a779bf2
198.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:11:59 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a00633e9fc2eb7d7129236877918ec5f25a354772ac1f196b8bc40bf2b5ee
95.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:11:14 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025003fc4abdd2ec0b68f8cd4f535e96830145498cb44f3b021dd988ea419d2