Spike bucket
09/19/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/19/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 09/19/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 149.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
149.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 149 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/19/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
89.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
60.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
498.91 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:02:55 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:01:43 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
149.48 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:04:06 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
86.76 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:00:31 P.M.
+2 min
51 tx
877.68 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:05:18 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
161.1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:59:20 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate25 tx
23,381.12 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/19/2026, 2:06:31 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
112.02 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/19/2026, 1:58:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
89.45 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:03:55 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
89.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:03:55 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x006c0021bf0977ff92a7d343bac71692c9298da3e151ee8dae73170745a10e20
60.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/19/2026, 2:03:55 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0041005bffc079fccba843318b47c68e28e9c0751bbdb43dc18d4ae904e2e340